Methodology

We run eight pipelines around the clock: SEC filings (8-K and friends), Form 4 insider transactions, FDA actions and regulatory decisions, earnings dates and calls, press wires, contract and partnership announcements, macro releases, and social chatter that moves single names.

Each pipeline emits catalysts — an event, a date where one exists, and the ticker it touches. Undated items mined from calls and filings are labelled WATCH rather than given a false timestamp.

Impact is 0–100 and relative to company size: a $40M contract is a major catalyst for a microcap and background noise for a megacap. As a rough guide, 85+ is major, 60+ is notable, and under 40 is background.

Confidence reflects source reliability — a primary filing scores higher than a rumor on social, and status (confirmed, tentative, rumor) is shown alongside it so you can weigh the row yourself.

We read filings, earnings-call transcripts and wires, then connect events across companies — a supplier win is often a read-through for a customer, a competitor, or an index name. Those links are surfaced as read-throughs and theses with an explicit mechanism chain, so you can check the logic rather than take it on faith.

Outputs are graded retroactively against what actually happened, and they are imperfect. Treat every row as a pointer to a primary source, not as a conclusion.